{"id":6998,"date":"2022-03-11T16:58:37","date_gmt":"2022-03-11T19:58:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/prevconsulting.com\/site\/?p=6998"},"modified":"2022-03-11T16:58:49","modified_gmt":"2022-03-11T19:58:49","slug":"guerra-entre-russia-e-ucrania-qual-o-impacto-na-economia-brasileira","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prevconsulting.com\/site\/guerra-entre-russia-e-ucrania-qual-o-impacto-na-economia-brasileira\/","title":{"rendered":"Guerra entre R\u00fassia e Ucr\u00e2nia: qual o impacto na economia brasileira?"},"content":{"rendered":"

N\u00e3o \u00e9 novidade que a \u201cguerra quente\u201d entre R\u00fassia e Ucr\u00e2nia traria impactos expressivos na economia mundial. Apesar de estarmos longe dos conflitos, eles j\u00e1 est\u00e3o batendo em nossas portas economicamente.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

A invas\u00e3o e as san\u00e7\u00f5es econ\u00f4micas impostas pelas principais economias do mundo aos russos ligaram o sinal vermelho para mais uma crise mundial. Sobretudo, o aumento das press\u00f5es inflacion\u00e1rias, redu\u00e7\u00e3o das perspectivas de crescimento e mercados acion\u00e1rios arriscados.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Desde os ataques, que tiveram in\u00edcio no dia 24 de fevereiro, n\u00e3o se fala em outra coisa sen\u00e3o sobre como tudo isso vai impactar a economia brasileira. Por isso, se voc\u00ea quer entender sobre o que est\u00e1 acontecendo, bem como o que ainda est\u00e1 por vir, continue com a gente!\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pre\u00e7os\u00a0<\/span><\/h2>\n

O impacto mais imediato deste conflito foi nos pre\u00e7os das commodities. Pois a R\u00fassia \u00e9 o terceiro maior produtor e segundo maior exportador de petr\u00f3leo do mundo, com capacidade para produzir mais de 10 milh\u00f5es de barris desta mat\u00e9ria-prima por dia. Com as san\u00e7\u00f5es ocidentais isolando o pa\u00eds, a eleva\u00e7\u00e3o de pre\u00e7o deste insumo era inevit\u00e1vel.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Al\u00e9m disso, alguns alimentos, como trigo e prote\u00ednas tamb\u00e9m tiveram um aumento. A tend\u00eancia, de acordo com especialistas, \u00e9 de que as cota\u00e7\u00f5es nas alturas sejam repassadas aos consumidores. Ou seja, os brasileiros v\u00e3o sentir os reflexos deste conflito nas g\u00f4ndolas dos supermercados.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Agroneg\u00f3cio\u00a0<\/span><\/h2>\n

Outro setor que pode ser diretamente afetado \u00e9 o agroneg\u00f3cio. O acesso aos fertilizantes j\u00e1 estava ligeiramente resolvido para o plantio da safra atual brasileira, como a da soja e milho. Por mais que Associa\u00e7\u00e3o Nacional para Difus\u00e3o de Adubos tenha estimado a dura\u00e7\u00e3o do estoque destes insumos em tr\u00eas meses, a expectativa \u00e9 que ocorra escassez. Mas isso vai depender do quanto a guerra ainda vai prolongar.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Juros em alta, crescimento em baixa\u00a0<\/span><\/h2>\n

Diante das press\u00f5es inflacion\u00e1rias, a pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria contracionista no Brasil deve ser intensificada. Isto porque, no in\u00edcio do m\u00eas, o Comit\u00ea de Pol\u00edtica Monet\u00e1ria elevou, mais uma vez, a taxa b\u00e1sica de juros.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Tais conflitos no leste europeu n\u00e3o devem trazer nenhum benef\u00edcio ao cen\u00e1rio macroecon\u00f4mico brasileiro. Afinal, a depender do agravamento da crise, h\u00e1 grandes chances de um recuo de cerca de 0,5% no Produto Interno Bruto.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Um cen\u00e1rio catastr\u00f3fico?\u00a0<\/span><\/h2>\n

A economia brasileira, assim como em outros pa\u00edses, j\u00e1 estava em n\u00edvel de recupera\u00e7\u00e3o econ\u00f4mica por conta da pandemia. Mas, com o atual cen\u00e1rio, muitos especialistas acreditam que podemos chegar a um momento catastr\u00f3fico. Isso porque n\u00e3o h\u00e1 nenhuma previs\u00e3o de quando a guerra vai acabar, nem quais ser\u00e3o os pr\u00f3ximos passos <\/span>Vladimir<\/span> de Putin, atual presidente da R\u00fassia.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Para analistas de grandes institui\u00e7\u00f5es financeiras, a interrup\u00e7\u00e3o de um fluxo de petr\u00f3leo russo aumentaria ainda mais os riscos, diminuiria a expectativa de retornos globais e, ainda, desencadeariam perdas duradouras para o mercado brasileiro.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Gostou do conte\u00fado?\u00a0<\/span><\/h2>\n

Desenvolvemos conte\u00fados especiais mensalmente para voc\u00ea ficar por dentro de tudo o que acontece na economia mundial! Nossa miss\u00e3o \u00e9 te ajudar a entender cada vez mais a atual situa\u00e7\u00e3o econ\u00f4mica brasileira para investir do jeito certo!\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Por isso, se voc\u00ea gostou deste artigo, n\u00e3o deixe de nos acompanhar. Aproveite para navegar pelo nosso site e conferir todos os nossos servi\u00e7os. Entre em contato<\/a> e saiba mais.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

N\u00e3o \u00e9 novidade que a \u201cguerra quente\u201d entre R\u00fassia e Ucr\u00e2nia traria impactos expressivos na economia mundial. Apesar de estarmos longe dos conflitos, eles j\u00e1 est\u00e3o batendo em nossas portas economicamente.\u00a0 A invas\u00e3o e as san\u00e7\u00f5es econ\u00f4micas impostas pelas principais economias do mundo aos russos ligaram o sinal vermelho para mais uma crise mundial. Sobretudo, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":7000,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15,52],"tags":[232,224,70,225,228,231,215,48,229,230],"class_list":["post-6998","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog","category-novidades","tag-bolsa","tag-brasil","tag-economia","tag-economia-brasileira","tag-guerra","tag-guerra-quente","tag-impactos","tag-prevconsulting","tag-russia","tag-ucrania"],"yoast_head":"\nGuerra entre R\u00fassia e Ucr\u00e2nia: qual o impacto na economia brasileira?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Desde o in\u00edcio da guerra no dia 24 de fevereiro, n\u00e3o se fala em outra coisa sen\u00e3o sobre como tudo isso vai impactar a economia brasileira.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link 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